Analysis of the FTX-Ukraine conspiracy theory
Sections
Bankman-Fried donated to both parties. Billionaires donated 4x more to Republicans.A supermajority of the American public still supports sending aid to Ukraine Authors and outlets provided no evidence to support claimsClaims implying the US isn’t auditing aid to Ukraine are pants-on-fire falseMedia bias and reliability assessmentsAppendix and social media graphicsWorking paper
Summary
Bankman-Fried donated to both parties. Billionaires donated 4x more to Republicans. Stories ignore that Bankman-Fried donated to both political parties and that he has donated significant sums of money in the past, long before February 2022. Some have decided to return or donate the money, given the situation.
The historically strong support Ukraine has received from Republicans goes unacknowledged. Although the Obama administration refused to arm and effectively support Ukraine after the 2014 invasion, the former-Vice-President-turned President is depicted as having always given Ukraine anything it needed.
A supermajority of the American public still supports sending aid to Ukraine Although a supermajority of Americans supports aid to Ukraine, this is framed as an unpopular, corrupt practice that could only be designed to enrich political elites. Aid that was broadly supported by a bipartisan supermajority of the public and Congress is decontextualized. Real threats posed by permitting a successful illegal conquest are ignored.
Claims implying the US isn’t auditing aid to Ukraine are pants-on-fire false The United States is heavily auditing aid to Ukraine with multiple specialized oversight responses across at least three agencies. Claims implying the US isn’t auditing aid to Ukraine are pants-on-fire false.
Authors and outlets provided no evidence to support claims Hoaxlines attempted to find an original source for the claim that Ukraine had “invested in FTX,” which is the basis for an elaborate story currently popping up on hyperpartisan websites, but there doesn’t appear to be anything beyond speculation.
Russia’s use of conspiracy theories as a tool of statecraft is not new, and Russia has renewed its efforts to use sympathetic voices in Europe and the United States. This story contains common ideas and elements from previous disinformation.
- The story spread by Russian and Chinese accounts in March 2022 first appeared in 2017, though a similar story about Georgia appeared earlier. A pro-Kremlin hacking collective called CyberBerkut (recognized as a GRU front organization) published the story, as did Russian state media. Later, the FSB-controlled outlet SouthFront also published this false story.
- The FTX-Ukraine conspiracy theory touches on familiar themes like US government corruption, political elites lying to the public, Ukraine as a bad actor, and an element of data-void exploitation. In 2016, we saw elected officials make similar false claims about donations from Ukraine.
Noteworthy find
An influencer boosting conspiracy theories about Ukraine signed a $6.8 mil deal with Russian state media in August 2022
- Swann ranked in the top 5 users for “Authority” using Hyperlink-Induced Topic Search (HITS).
- Other popular tweets came from users with a history of platform manipulation, who promoted “Pizzagate,” deep state conspiracy theories, Nord Stream conspiracy theories, or promoted false election claims in 2020.
- Axios described the Swann as a “Pizzagate promoter” who “also promoted conspiracy theories surrounding the 9/11 attacks and the Sandy Hook Elementary School shooting.”
- Open Secrets reported Ben Swann’s $6.8 mil deal with Russian state-funded TV Novosti in August 2022.
- Others who have worked for the Russian state, like Jimmy Dore, have also promoted the claims. George Galloway also appeared in the top 100 for HITS.
- Zero Hedge, identified as a pro-Kremlin amplifier by multiple independent researchers and the federal government, also promoted it. The Duran, another that researchers say amplifies pro-Kremlin content, had a video in the top 25 links identified.